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Mortgage Bankers Strapped

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The most recent report from the Mortgage Bankers Association painted a gloomy picture. Indications are that independent mortgage bankers are making far less money and that the understaffed lenders cannot keep up with the surplus of loan modification applications.

The end result is that work is not being completed in a timely manner and that the mortgage business, which relies upon volume to generate its profits, is in distress. Mortgage bankers are learning what every other American business is facing. Costs are rising and volume is diminishing. It is a viscous cycle and certainly one that the mortgage bankers have not faced in several years.

The Bankers Association report specified that, “the average production volume for each firm fell to $157.8 million in the first quarter 2010, compared to $216.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2009. In addition, production operating expenses rose from $5,147 per loan in the first quarter 2010, compared to $4,402 per loan in the fourth quarter of 2209.”

The Mortgage Bankers Association said that production profits dropped from $606 per loan in the first quarter 2010 from $890 per loan in the fourth quarter 2009 and from $1,088 in the first quarter of 2009. The lack of demand has caused most of the lenders to cut staffs and with the Obama Administration’s insistence on complete transparency throughout the lending process, each application costs more to process.

Mortgage Bankers are walking a fine line. Refinance departments are understaffed and new mortgage departments are overstaffed. There simply is not enough new mortgage demand to keep everyone busy and profitable.

Ever since the expiration of the homebuyer tax credits, the number of mortgage originations has been steadily falling. Many of the lenders describe the current market as a “double dip” for the housing market recession.

Everywhere they look, the industry has changed. There are now new appraisal practices, more stringent underwriting guidelines and more documentation in the mortgage application business than ever before.

The percentage of successfully closed new mortgage applications in the first quarter 2010 fell to 68% from 73% in the fourth quarter 2009. The good news for investors is that qualified purchasers have a distinct advantage in the new real estate market. An offer accompanied by a pre-qualified letter has great negotiating power today.


Mortgage Bankers Association Sees Hard Times Ahead

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30-day delinquencies rose 5.38 percent last year. Fannie Mae insured multi-family delinquencies rose an astounding 67 percent over last year. 90-day delinquencies have increased 100 percent in one year. Banks are nervous about absorbing the losses but time is running out for the lenders.

The MBA sees no turnaround in sight until the Obama Administration does something about the unemployment rate. At the core of the delinquency problem is consumer confidence. Washington has made promises, indicated that jobs will be created with stimulus funding but the public just is not seeing or feeling any change.

Unemployment remains at 9.7 percent and higher in metropolitan areas. Some economists suggest real unemployment is in the 20 percent range. They just may be right.

High unemployment is hurting the commercial real estate market in many ways. As companies consolidate operations and operate at low employment levels, they simply do not require the space to which they were accustomed. Yet, these same scenarios give cause for hope for short sale purchasers.

Commercial short sales are unlike residential short sales. The emphasis in successful commercial short sales is for the investor to arrive at new exit strategies that will appeal to new lenders and new tenants.

For example, as companies pare down their workforces, savvy investors are contacting companies that are scaling back and positioning themselves to accommodate the changing commercial environment. Solving the exit strategy is often the key to any short sale but commercial opportunities have far more options than residential properties. Investors must be creative and develop new occupancy rates, find new tenants and understand the zoning board procedures for the community.

Commercial short sellers are more sophisticated than residential owners. There is less emotion and a more willing seller on the other end. Get your strategy in place, because 2010 is the time to capitalize on the down commercial market.